Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.559866e-03 0.001738 0.001917 0.002111 0.002313 0.002518 0.002741
2025-02-16 1.281821e-03 0.001537 0.001803 0.002097 0.002413 0.002740 0.003102
2025-02-23 1.007147e-03 0.001311 0.001638 0.002010 0.002419 0.002851 0.003337
2025-03-02 7.888681e-04 0.001124 0.001498 0.001937 0.002429 0.002958 0.003562
2025-03-09 6.156110e-04 0.000971 0.001382 0.001878 0.002446 0.003066 0.003785
2025-03-16 4.870796e-04 0.000855 0.001300 0.001849 0.002491 0.003201 0.004032
2025-03-23 4.245682e-04 0.000815 0.001301 0.001915 0.002640 0.003449 0.004405
2025-03-30 3.472181e-04 0.000746 0.001261 0.001925 0.002722 0.003621 0.004689
2025-04-06 2.951733e-04 0.000705 0.001252 0.001970 0.002842 0.003833 0.005018
2025-04-13 2.654476e-04 0.000691 0.001276 0.002054 0.003007 0.004097 0.005405
2025-04-20 1.893566e-04 0.000596 0.001185 0.001990 0.002992 0.004149 0.005548
2025-04-27 1.241854e-04 0.000503 0.001089 0.001914 0.002957 0.004175 0.005659
2025-05-04 9.245618e-05 0.000474 0.001097 0.001992 0.003139 0.004488 0.006140
2025-05-11 5.079094e-05 0.000407 0.001045 0.001993 0.003227 0.004693 0.006501
2025-05-18 1.362930e-05 0.000315 0.000942 0.001917 0.003217 0.004781 0.006727
2025-05-25 7.511850e-08 0.000238 0.000851 0.001852 0.003216 0.004879 0.006964
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000176 0.000773 0.001799 0.003227 0.004988 0.007214
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000133 0.000718 0.001773 0.003271 0.005138 0.007510
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000120 0.000723 0.001839 0.003437 0.005436 0.007985
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000095 0.000695 0.001851 0.003528 0.005642 0.008348
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000080 0.000689 0.001896 0.003664 0.005902 0.008775
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000076 0.000708 0.001979 0.003852 0.006228 0.009282
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000045 0.000639 0.001917 0.003836 0.006296 0.009477